Past Meetings
2017 NESSIS
Program
Selected presentations
- “How often does the best team win? A unified approach to understanding randomness in North American sport” (external link)
Michael Lopez, Skidmore College; Benjamin Baumer, Smith College - “Automatic event detection in basketball games” (with videos)
Suraj Keshri, Columbia University - “Strategy implications of the NFL's PAT rule”
Harold Sackrowitz, Rutgers University - “NFLWAR: A reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football”
Ronald Yurko, Carnegie Mellon University - “Opposition analysis: Methods for forecasting style of play in soccer”
Devin Pleuler, Toronto Football Club - “Using data analysis to predict attendance for NHL regular season games”
Brian Macdonald, Florida Panthers - “A point-based Bayesian hierarchical model to predict the outcome of tennis matches”
Martin Ingram, Silverpond - “Modeling NCAA tournament bracket pool multiple entry strategy”
Tom Adams, www.poologic.com - “Using survival analysis to estimate injury recovery times and positional variation in the NFL”
Zachary O Binney, Emory University - “Optimizing pre-season training loads in Australian football”
David Carey, La Trobe University - “A survey of advanced modeling techniques for forecasting college football game outcomes”
Edward Egros, Fox 4 News (Dallas) - “Projecting college basketball freshman performance using grassroots basketball statistics”
Neil Johnson, ESPN - “A timeout is a timeout? Effects of a rule change in the National Hockey League (NHL)”
Kevin Kniffin, Cornell University - “From NOOB to SMURF: Advanced analytics for League of Legends”
Philip Maymin, University of Bridgeport - “From Markov models to Poisson point processes: Understanding player movement in the NBA”
Jacob Mortensen, Simon Fraser University - “What does it mean to draft perfectly?”
Namita Nandakumar, University of Pennsylvania - “Scheduling effects in the NBA and NHL and their betting markets”
Jason Osborne, North Carolina State University - “An analysis of shot quality in Major League Lacrosse (MLL)”
Tyler Schanzenbach, William Penn High School - “Using a tennis rating system to determine handicaps in amateur matches”
Raghav Singal, Columbia University - “Quantifying the causal effects of conservative fourth down decision-making in the National Football League”
Derrick Yam, Brown University
Confirmed presenters
The full slate of talks and posters confirmed for the 2017 NESSIS program.
Confirmed oral presentations
- “Fair standings in soccer and other round-robin leagues”
David Firth, University of Warwick - “Out of gas: Quantifying fatigue in MLB relievers”
Kyle Burris, Duke University - “No ‘I’ in team: A network analysis of Division I men's basketball offenses”
Grace Dickman, Macalester College - “A point-based Bayesian hierarchical model to predict the outcome of tennis matches”
Martin Ingram, Silverpond - “Automatic event detection in basketball games”
Suraj Keshri, Columbia University - “A shot taxonomy in the era of tracking data in professional tennis”
Stephanie Kovalchik, Tennis Australia - “How often does the best team win? A unified approach to understanding randomness in North American sport”
Michael Lopez, Skidmore College - “Using data analysis to predict attendance for NHL regular season games”
Brian Macdonald, Florida Panthers - “Player tracking in American football: Spatio-temporal modeling of defensive players' intent”
Karl Pazdernik, North Carolina State University - “LINNET: Probabilistic lineup evaluation through network embedding”
Konstantinos Pelechrinis, University of Pittsburgh - “Opposition analysis: Methods for forecasting style of play in soccer”
Devin Pleuler, Toronto Football Club - “Strategy implications of the NFL's new PAT rule”
Harold Sackrowitz, Rutgers University - “Replaying the NBA: Using Markov decision processes to test decision-making from the 2015-2016 regular season”
Nathan Sandholtz, Simon Fraser University - “Utilizing analytics to reduce NFL offensive play type predictions to a mental checklist”
Ronen Yakubov, University of Toronto - “NFLWAR: A reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football”
Ronald Yurko, Carnegie Mellon University
Confirmed poster presentations
- “Modeling NCAA tournament bracket pool multiple entry strategy”
Tom Adams, Poologic - “It's a toss-up: An analysis of coin toss strategy in T20 cricket”
Sumhith Veda Aradhyula, Harvard University - “Bump, set, spike: Using analytics to rate volleyball teams and players”
Corley Bagley, VolleyMetrics - “Using survival analysis to estimate injury recovery times and positional variation in the NFL”
Zachary Binney, Emory University - “Optimising pre-season training loads in Australian football”
David L Carey, La Trobe University - “Using a tennis rating system to determine handicaps in amateur matches”
Timothy Chan, University of Toronto - “What factors impacts a superstar's performance in NBA?”
Ruihao Chen, Deloitte & Touche LLP - “Rao-Blackwellizing field goal percentage for NBA players”
Daniel Daly-Grafstein, Simon Fraser University - “A survey of advanced modeling techniques for forecasting college football game outcomes”
Edward Egros, Fox 4 Sports, Dallas - “Performance vs. observation: Are experts and analysts watching the same game?”
Liam Flaherty, Babson College - “The first-pitch game: Strategies and significance of the first pitch in the MLB”
Adam Gilfix, Harvard University - “Comparing golf eras: An analysis of golf's best to determine the greatest professional golfer of all time”
Patrick Gravelle, Queen's University - “Projecting college basketball freshman performance using grassroots basketball statistics”
Neil Johnson, ESPN - “New ways to evaluate pitchers using weighted offensive average and penalizing earned runs”
Chulmin Kim, University of West Georgia - “Experienced veteran or promising rookie: The effects of MLB managers' salary and experience on team success”
J.C. Kim, Fairleigh Dickinson University - “A timeout is a timeout? Effects of a rule change in the National Hockey League (NHL)”
Kevin Kniffin, Cornell University - “Grip it and rip it: A further exploration of predicting success for male professional golfers on the PGA Tour”
Michael Machiorlatti, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center - “From noob to smurf: Advanced analytics for League of Legends”
Philip Z. Maymin, University of Bridgeport - “Projecting the 2017 NBA draft class”
John McCool, University of Pittsburgh - “From Markov models to Poisson point processes: Understanding player movement in the NBA”
Jacob Mortensen, Simon Fraser University - “Islands in the sea are connected in the deep: Professional soccer player transfers in Big 5 European leagues using exponential random graph model (ERGM)”
Subhasree Mukherjee, Indian Institute of Management Kozhikode - “What does it mean to draft perfectly? A game theoretic framework for the NHL entry draft”
Namita Nandakumar, University of Pennsylvania - “Scheduling effects in the NBA and NHL and their betting markets”
Jason A Osborne, North Carolina State University - “Risk factors and predictive modeling of the UCL injury using PITCHf/x data in MLB”
Fumitake Sakaori, Chuo University - “An analysis of shot quality in Major League Lacrosse (MLL)”
Tyler Schanzenbach, William Penn High School - “Predicting shot success using real estate”
Neil Seward, University of Ontario Institute of Technology - “Quantifying the causal effects of conservative fourth down decision making in the National Football League”
Derrick Yam, Brown University
Pictures
Photographs from the 2017 NESSIS
Selected videos
- Talk by Harold Sackrowitz
- Talk by Ronald Yurko
- Talk by Devin Pleuler
- Talk by Brian Macdonald
- Talk by Martin Ingram
- Panel Discussion
Sponsors
We kindly thank the following organizations for their support of the 2017 NESSIS:




